A Theory of International Trade Under Uncertainty.

Strategic Trade Policy under Uncertainty

This paper extends the Brander-Spencer (1985) model by considering market uncertainty, exploring nonlinear policy, and examining ̄rms' choices of strategic variables. By investigating the interrelationship between trade policy and market conduct, we ̄nd that unlike the oftenstudied linear policy, a nonlinear policy can in°uence the domestic ̄rm's choice of strategic variables and hence alter th...

Uncertainty , Risk Aversion and International Trade ∗

This paper develops a general equilibrium model of international trade in homogenous intermediate inputs. In the model, trade between countries is driven by uncertainty in the delivery of inputs. Because their managers are risk-averse, final good firms contract with multiple suppliers to decrease the variability of their profits. The analysis shows that risk diversification provides an incentiv...

Studies in the Theory of International Trade

A Theory of Favoritism under International Oligopoly

CIRANO Le CIRANO est un organisme sans but lucratif constitué en vertu de la Loi des compagnies du Québec. Le financement de son infrastructure et de ses activités de recherche provient des cotisations de ses organisations-membres, d'une subvention d'infrastructure du ministère de la Recherche, de la Science et de la Technologie, de même que des subventions et mandats obtenus par ses équipes de...

Algebraic Uncertainty Theory: A Unifying Perspective on Reasoning under Uncertainty

The question of how to represent and process uncertainty is of fundamental importance to the scientific process, but also in everyday life. Currently there exist a lot of different calculi for managing uncertainty, each having its own advantages and disadvantages. Especially, almost all are defining the domain and structure of uncertainty values a priori, e.g., one real number, two real numbers...